{"id":86,"date":"2023-03-15T09:04:14","date_gmt":"2023-03-15T09:04:14","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/designsdaddydev.com\/sharpedgepicks\/?p=86"},"modified":"2023-03-17T20:08:28","modified_gmt":"2023-03-17T20:08:28","slug":"nfl-fantasy-selection-top-tip","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/designsdaddydev.com\/sharpedgepicks\/nfl-fantasy-selection-top-tip\/","title":{"rendered":"NFL Fantasy Selection \u2013 TOP TIP"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>There is ONE piece of sport-betting advice that is BEST applicable to NFL fantasy selections \u2013 FOCUS ON GAMES WITH HIGH OVER-UNDERS.<\/p>\n<p>If you understand this, you can skip the rest of this article, knowing you have a HUGE EDGE vs your opponents in BOTH season-long AND weekly fantasy.<\/p>\n<p>The explanation. \u00a0\u00a0Here are the\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/web.archive.org\/web\/20220627215903\/http:\/\/sharpedgepicks.com\/live-odds\/nfl\/\">NFL game odds<\/a>. \u00a0 Each game has an expected total points scored with roughly a 50% chance the game goes over that number and 50% under that number. \u00a0 IF you take offensive players (QB, WR, RB, TE, and kickers) from a game where 60 points are expected to be scored, you are likely to get A LOT MORE points than selecting players where only 35 points are expected to be scored.<\/p>\n<p>The NFL has a HUGE variation in expected points scored across matchups.\u00a0 \u00a0Each week there is a total around\u00a052 and one around 40.\u00a0 The difference is 30%. \u00a0 In other words, an avg receiver in the\u00a0high total game could be expected to score 30% MORE points than an avg receiver in\u00a0a low total game. \u00a0 Think 13 fantasy pts per player vs 10 \u2013 IT ADDS UP QUICK.<\/p>\n<p>Teams that move the ball quickly, pass a lot, take risks, or have weak Ds all tend to have big over\/unders for their games. \u00a0 Focusing on those teams\/games will allow you to create teams with 15-25 additional expected points per week \u2013 the difference between the sucker and the shark!<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<div class=\"tmnf_excerpt\"><p>There is ONE piece of sport-betting advice that is BEST applicable to NFL fantasy selections \u2013 FOCUS ON GAMES WITH HIGH OVER-UNDERS. If you understand this, you can skip the rest of this article, knowing you have a HUGE EDGE vs your opponents in BOTH season-long AND weekly fantasy. The explanation. \u00a0\u00a0Here are the\u00a0NFL game &hellip;<\/p>\n<\/div>","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":77,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[4,7],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-86","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-betting-concepts","category-specific-sports-strategy"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/designsdaddydev.com\/sharpedgepicks\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/86","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/designsdaddydev.com\/sharpedgepicks\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/designsdaddydev.com\/sharpedgepicks\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/designsdaddydev.com\/sharpedgepicks\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/designsdaddydev.com\/sharpedgepicks\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=86"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/designsdaddydev.com\/sharpedgepicks\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/86\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":87,"href":"https:\/\/designsdaddydev.com\/sharpedgepicks\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/86\/revisions\/87"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/designsdaddydev.com\/sharpedgepicks\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/77"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/designsdaddydev.com\/sharpedgepicks\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=86"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/designsdaddydev.com\/sharpedgepicks\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=86"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/designsdaddydev.com\/sharpedgepicks\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=86"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}