{"id":49,"date":"2023-03-15T08:32:58","date_gmt":"2023-03-15T08:32:58","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/designsdaddydev.com\/sharpedgepicks\/?p=49"},"modified":"2023-03-18T06:22:00","modified_gmt":"2023-03-18T06:22:00","slug":"general-value-bets-mlb-underdogs-3-2-odds","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/designsdaddydev.com\/sharpedgepicks\/general-value-bets-mlb-underdogs-3-2-odds\/","title":{"rendered":"General Value Bets: MLB underdogs @ 3-2 odds"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Another Sharp Edge Picks article outlines some of the merits of betting baseball:\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/web.archive.org\/web\/20221205054943\/http:\/\/sharpedgepicks.com\/why-bet-on-baseball\/\">http:\/\/sharpedgepicks.com\/why-bet-on-baseball\/<\/a>\u00a0 Namely, a ton of games, reduced vig, and quick turnaround times (allowing sportsbooks to make errors).<\/p>\n<p>So why focus on 3-2 moneyline underdogs in baseball? \u00a0With OVER 90% of teams winning between 64-97 (40-60%) of their games every year*, getting 3-2 odds is strong. \u00a0Of course, the weak Padres are NOT winning 40% of their games at Kershaw and the Dodgers. \u00a0However, throwing out the horrid teams and opposing aces, the 3-2 odds are a good benchmark.<\/p>\n<p>Betting against mediocre pitchers, even with strong lineups and getting 3-2 is usually good value. \u00a0Betting on a bad team with a solid pitcher and getting 3-2 is strong also. \u00a0In this post steroid era of low over\/under games, there are a lot more 1 run games of the 3-2 variety. \u00a0In these games, a single play (bloop double with 2 on and 2 out in the 7th) can change the game and getting 3-2 or better on your money is value.<\/p>\n<p>* over 3 years (2014-16), only 8\/90, 9% of teams have won more than 60% of their games for a season or lost more than 60% (2016 Cubs and Twins, 2015 Phils, Cards, Pirates, Reds and 2014 Angels and D-backs).<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<div class=\"tmnf_excerpt\"><p>Another Sharp Edge Picks article outlines some of the merits of betting baseball:\u00a0http:\/\/sharpedgepicks.com\/why-bet-on-baseball\/\u00a0 Namely, a ton of games, reduced vig, and quick turnaround times (allowing sportsbooks to make errors). So why focus on 3-2 moneyline underdogs in baseball? \u00a0With OVER 90% of teams winning between 64-97 (40-60%) of their games every year*, getting 3-2 odds &hellip;<\/p>\n<\/div>","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":50,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[4,7,6],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-49","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-betting-concepts","category-specific-sports-strategy","category-value-bets-and-sports-thoughts"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/designsdaddydev.com\/sharpedgepicks\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/49","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/designsdaddydev.com\/sharpedgepicks\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/designsdaddydev.com\/sharpedgepicks\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/designsdaddydev.com\/sharpedgepicks\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/designsdaddydev.com\/sharpedgepicks\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=49"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/designsdaddydev.com\/sharpedgepicks\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/49\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":51,"href":"https:\/\/designsdaddydev.com\/sharpedgepicks\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/49\/revisions\/51"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/designsdaddydev.com\/sharpedgepicks\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/50"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/designsdaddydev.com\/sharpedgepicks\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=49"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/designsdaddydev.com\/sharpedgepicks\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=49"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/designsdaddydev.com\/sharpedgepicks\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=49"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}