{"id":38,"date":"2023-03-15T08:24:34","date_gmt":"2023-03-15T08:24:34","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/designsdaddydev.com\/sharpedgepicks\/?p=38"},"modified":"2023-03-18T06:23:51","modified_gmt":"2023-03-18T06:23:51","slug":"whats-the-line","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/designsdaddydev.com\/sharpedgepicks\/whats-the-line\/","title":{"rendered":"What\u2019s the Line?"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>What\u2019s the line in the Raps @ Bucks game 4? \u00a0 SUPER tough line to set.<\/p>\n<p>Background\/key info:<\/p>\n<p>-Raps were the better team all year, the higher seed and a 3-1 fave to win the series<\/p>\n<p>-Raps looked mediocre at home in 1st 2 games and were lucky to split<\/p>\n<p>-Raps were a 1 pt dog in game 3 at Bucks, betting action on Bucks closed it at 2. \u00a0 Raps got CRUSHED and EMBARRASSED.<\/p>\n<p>So, the million dollar question \u2013 what\u2019s the line in game 4? \u00a0Is it:<\/p>\n<p>A: Bucks by 3.5+. \u00a0 Rationale: they closed at -2 in game 3 and crushed.<\/p>\n<p>B: Bucks by 2. \u00a0 Rationale:\u00a0it was just one game and lines shouldn\u2019t over-react to a single result.<\/p>\n<p>C: Pick. \u00a0 Rationale: Raps were better all year and now playing for their season ( in essence, can\u2019t fall behind 3-1) with a better overall team.<\/p>\n<p>What\u2019s the answer? \u00a0 B. \u00a0 Bucks are at 2 point fave across the board. \u00a0 See updated lines here:\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/web.archive.org\/web\/20220125132947\/http:\/\/sharpedgepicks.com\/live-odds\/nba\/20170422\/\">http:\/\/sharpedgepicks.com\/live-odds\/nba\/20170422\/\u00a0\u00a0<\/a><\/p>\n<p>LESSON TO BE LEARNED: oddsmakers do NOT over-react to a single result, the public may. \u00a0 If the line closed 2 for game 3, that is likely the correct price for game 4, similar key playoff game and any big move off Bucs -2, is public sentiment and you should fade (bet against) it for value.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<div class=\"tmnf_excerpt\"><p>What\u2019s the line in the Raps @ Bucks game 4? \u00a0 SUPER tough line to set. Background\/key info: -Raps were the better team all year, the higher seed and a 3-1 fave to win the series -Raps looked mediocre at home in 1st 2 games and were lucky to split -Raps were a 1 pt &hellip;<\/p>\n<\/div>","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":39,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[6],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-38","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-value-bets-and-sports-thoughts"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/designsdaddydev.com\/sharpedgepicks\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/38","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/designsdaddydev.com\/sharpedgepicks\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/designsdaddydev.com\/sharpedgepicks\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/designsdaddydev.com\/sharpedgepicks\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/designsdaddydev.com\/sharpedgepicks\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=38"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/designsdaddydev.com\/sharpedgepicks\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/38\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":40,"href":"https:\/\/designsdaddydev.com\/sharpedgepicks\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/38\/revisions\/40"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/designsdaddydev.com\/sharpedgepicks\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/39"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/designsdaddydev.com\/sharpedgepicks\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=38"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/designsdaddydev.com\/sharpedgepicks\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=38"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/designsdaddydev.com\/sharpedgepicks\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=38"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}