{"id":22,"date":"2023-03-15T08:12:37","date_gmt":"2023-03-15T08:12:37","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/designsdaddydev.com\/sharpedgepicks\/?p=22"},"modified":"2023-03-18T06:27:20","modified_gmt":"2023-03-18T06:27:20","slug":"value-bet-nba-1st-half-road-dogs-getting-2-1-moneyline","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/designsdaddydev.com\/sharpedgepicks\/value-bet-nba-1st-half-road-dogs-getting-2-1-moneyline\/","title":{"rendered":"Value Bet: NBA 1st half road dogs getting 2-1 Moneyline"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>A\u00a0boring value bet: NBA road teams getting 2-1 odds on the moneyline in the 1st half of the game.<\/p>\n<p>Explain the bet: you can bet on first halves of games.\u00a0 \u00a0The result at halftime is the end of the bet.\u00a0 \u00a0When you find a road team getting +200 or more, for the first half, they are usually good value.<\/p>\n<p>Why?\u00a0 \u00a0A few reasons:<\/p>\n<p>1: There is NO home court advantage in the 1st half. \u00a0IN fact, the opposite. \u00a0Refs like looking neutral so they give calls to the road team; it is down the stretch where the home court\/crowd causes refs to look like Leslie Nielsen from Naked Gun.<\/p>\n<p>2: Awesome teams play to win championships in June, not crush in the 1st half at home. \u00a0They pace themselves and often come on strong in the 3rd or 4th quarter. \u00a0 Road teams that are almost as good as the home teams often get 2-1 odds in the 1st half because of a home-court that really matters only down the stretch.<\/p>\n<p>3:\u00a0Usually a team is the favourite in the NBA because its got a super star (think LeBron and the Cavaliers).\u00a0 \u00a0Usually Lebron rests in the 2nd quarter, so he is fresh for crunch time.\u00a0 \u00a0This means the Cavaliers opponent can possibly take a small lead into the half, with the Cavaliers confident a rested LeBron can step it up in the 2nd half.<\/p>\n<p>4: Teams don\u2019t care about winning the 1st half, so the better team is happy to score a 2 pointer down 3 points with 10 seconds left.\u00a0 \u00a0Just keeping it close is often the goal.<\/p>\n<p>Add it all up and getting 2-1 odds is good value.\u00a0 Why 2-1?\u00a0 You are drawing the line somewhere and are getting solid value. \u00a0Winning only 35% at 2-1 odds translates to a 5% profit margin, higher than professional bettors hope to achieve.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<div class=\"tmnf_excerpt\"><p>A\u00a0boring value bet: NBA road teams getting 2-1 odds on the moneyline in the 1st half of the game. Explain the bet: you can bet on first halves of games.\u00a0 \u00a0The result at halftime is the end of the bet.\u00a0 \u00a0When you find a road team getting +200 or more, for the first half, they &hellip;<\/p>\n<\/div>","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":23,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[4,7],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-22","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-betting-concepts","category-specific-sports-strategy"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/designsdaddydev.com\/sharpedgepicks\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/22","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/designsdaddydev.com\/sharpedgepicks\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/designsdaddydev.com\/sharpedgepicks\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/designsdaddydev.com\/sharpedgepicks\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/designsdaddydev.com\/sharpedgepicks\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=22"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/designsdaddydev.com\/sharpedgepicks\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/22\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":24,"href":"https:\/\/designsdaddydev.com\/sharpedgepicks\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/22\/revisions\/24"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/designsdaddydev.com\/sharpedgepicks\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/23"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/designsdaddydev.com\/sharpedgepicks\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=22"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/designsdaddydev.com\/sharpedgepicks\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=22"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/designsdaddydev.com\/sharpedgepicks\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=22"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}